A Blog Reporting on Reports, Conjecture,and Opinions on International Affairs

Thursday, July 20, 2006

Spanish Civil War Redux?

Seventy Years ago on Monday marked the 70th anniversary of the start of the Spanish Civil War. The war pitted the Republican government against Nationalist rebels. The significance of the war relied on the fact that the Nationalists were aided by Nazi Germany and Fascist Italy; the Republicans were supported by the Soviet Union. The Germans used the war as a testing ground for the Luftwaffe, where they introduced some of their new bombers and fighter jets; the Soviets also introduced some of their own fighter jets. The use of bombing campaigns became an important feature during the Civil War and epitimized the worst atrocities of the war with he bombing of Guernica , which Picasso made famous in his paintings.
The present conflict between Israel and Hezbollah reminds me of the Spanish Civil War. Hezbollah, an Islamic fundamentalist group, which is backed by Syria and Iran is the focal point in this war. It is practically a fact that Iran uses Hezbollah as its proxy against Israel. It is my belief that Iran is using this war to threaten the West over its nuclear weapons program. If the US attacks Iran in any way then the current violence would be just a taste of what the US and her allies would be facing. Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasarallah warned Israel to expect many suprises. Those words are the same words Iran is telling the West.
The Hezbollah attack on an Israeli warship the Ahi-Hanit was one of the suprises. According to intelligence website Debka. Hezbollah fired an Iranian made missile a "C-802 shore-to-sea missile with a range of 120km, the missile was armed with a strong anti-jamming capability, which lends it a 98% success rate in escaping interception." The Israeli warship's anti missile system did not detect it. It would be interesting to see if Hezbollah uses similar weapons.
During the spring Iran played war games in the Persian Gulf. According to the USA Today the Iranians bragged about their new Fajr-3 missile, which can avoid radar and hit several targets simultaneously using multiple warheads. The missile speeds at 223mph, which would make it one of the fastest torpedos in the world. In conclusion it will be interesting to see if there are any "suprises" up Hezbollah's sleeve to worry over. Unfortunately,with the case of the Spanish Civil War, the West in the late 30s did not learn much about Nazi Germany's strengths or weaknesses. It did not prepare us for that troubled road ahead.

1 Comments:

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