Hezbollah's War on Disarmament

Prior to the outbreak of hostilities last week, the Lebanese government were having periods of talks under a national dialogue. The national dialogue consisted of all of the major groupings in the Lebanese government, the pro- and anti-Syrian members of the government. The issues that were up for discussion were Lebanon's relationship with Syria, the demarcation of the border, the status of Palestinian weapons outside the refugee camps, and the fate of Hezbollah's weapons. Since the withdrawal of Syrian troops last year, Hezbollah has been put on the defensive by the anti-Syrian majority in Parliament. Hassan Nasrallah Hezbollah's, secretary general, said in several statements that they won't be disarmed until the Arab-Israeli conflict ends. Hezbollah's capture of Israeli soldiers last week was an attempt to change the current political deadlock to its favor. Debka's website reported a few months ago on a failed to attempt to capture a few Israeli soldiers during a Lebanese holiday. The article mentioned that they wanted to look powerful and strong in the face of the March 14th, anti-Syrian alliance.
This episode was Hezbollah's attempt to remind the Lebanese that they are a force to be reckoned with and to rally its Shia constituency's support. Calling for the release of Lebanese prisoners from Israeli jails was Hezbollah’s scheme to make themselves look like the "The Guaranteer of Lebanese's sovereignty." It would show the Lebanese that they cared about Lebanon and were not out for Iranian or Syrian interests.
It seems like this plan has backfired but has given them the opportunity to become even more influential in the state. During the current crisis Hezbollah has almost complete control of Lebanon, while the central government just watches and complains. They have the most military power and its foreign policy decisions are more important then the Prime Minister’s. Nasrallah has no intentions in letting the March 14th alliance gain from this conflict. He has made it known that if the government supports and ceasefire it has to go through the Party of God first. The government is so weak that at this stage any sign of tension could almost lead to a civil war. Hezbollah knows this war domestically speaking is about their weapons. At this stage it is hard to see the Party gets wiped out. They will most likely agree to a ceasefire as long it doesn't compromise their weapons. If the national dialogue continues they will feel they will be able to keep their weapons permanently and use this crisis as their defense and the issue will be closed. This crisis shows how important and powerful they are, reason which they will continue to justify its reasons for keeping its weapons
With the conflict exacerbating, Hezbollah wants the Lebanese to remember that they lead the Lebanese resistance that they care about their sovereignty and freedom from occupation. If they gain more support from non Shia citizens during this time of crisis then they should be able to bring down the anti-Syrian government. Israel will be doing its best to weaken its hold on Lebanon but in the end Hezbollah’s fate will be decided on the street and in the capitals of Tehran and Damascus.